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Poster Session A: Tuesday, August 12, 1:30 – 4:30 pm, de Brug & E‑Hall

A new multi-level Theory of Mind model for strategic decision-making scenarios

Giorgio L Manenti1, Sepideh Khoneiveh1, Jan Gläscher2; 1Universität Klinikum Eppendorf // University Hospital Eppendorf, 2University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf

Presenter: Giorgio L Manenti

Theory of Mind (ToM) enables individuals to infer others' intentions and beliefs. While existing models successfully simulate recursive ToM reasoning, they typically rely on a fixed strategy at the lowest level (e.g., Win-Stay-Lose-Shift). We introduce a novel ToM model that combines a dynamic belief over multiple strategies with recursive best responses at higher levels. Using simulated data from a Matching Pennies game, we show that the model accurately recovers underlying strategies, adapts to changes in the environment, and correctly infers the ToM level of the agent. This approach offers a more flexible and robust framework for modeling strategic social reasoning and opens new directions for understanding decision-making in interactive settings.

Topic Area: Reward, Value & Social Decision Making

Extended Abstract: Full Text PDF